Did the 2007 welfare reforms for low income parents in Australia increase welfare exits?

Table 8 Sensitivity to anticipation? Key coefficients (Standard Errors)

	All Grandfathered PP recipients	Grandfathered PPP recipients	Grandfathered PPS recipients
Standard Model
Single Risk (all exits from PP)	.639***	.882***	.511***
Single Risk (all exits from PP)	(.104)	(.183)	(.127)
Exits to Other IS	1.14***	1.23***	1.07***
Exits to Other IS	(.223)	(.362)	(.282)
Exits from IS	.482***	.758***	.346**
Exits from IS	(.118)	(.213)	(.143)
Extended Model
Single Risk (all exits from PP)	.508***	.663***	.399***
Single Risk (all exits from PP)	(.128)	(.240)	(.152)
Exits to Other IS	1.65***	1.50*	1.68***
Exits to Other IS	(.444)	(.803)	(.531)
Exits from IS	.516***	.624*	.410**
Exits from IS	(.173)	(.331)	(.205)

Notes: ***, ** and * denote statistical significance at 99%, 95% and 90% respectively. The reported parameters are the coefficients and robust standard errors on the interaction of the treatment-group dummy and the turned7 dummy. The extended model includes an additional dummy equal to 1 for all those with a youngest child aged between 6 years and 9 months and 0 otherwise, and the interaction of this dummy with the treatment-group dummy, intended to control for anticipation effects in the three months prior to treatment. In all other respects the models are the same as those for Tables 5, 6 and 7.