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Table 7 Estimates of differences in allowance rates by gubernatorial term length for subgroups before 2000

From: The political economy of the disability insurance: theory and evidence of gubernatorial learning

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

 

Sample restricted to states in years in which they have

    
 

Full sample

Unemployment

% of expenditures

Split government

Restrictions

Super-majority

Republican

Governor with

  

rate above

which are deficit

(governor and

on tax and

requirements for

governor

line-item veto

  

national median

spending above

legislative

expenditure

new tax or

 

(Can reject

  

unemployment

average % of

majority of

increases

expenditure laws

 

single items

   

deficit spending

opposite parties)

   

in legislation)

Panel A: dependent variable is Disability Insurance (DI) only allowance rate

=1 if multi-term governor

1.35**

2.44***

1.10*

1.35

1.92**

3.20***

2.52***

-0.14

 

(0.62)

(0.87)

(0.61)

(0.87)

(0.81)

(1.10)

(0.93)

(1.01)

=1 if the previous governor is from the same party

0.84

2.62***

0.33

0.74

1.74**

0.90

1.12

0.99

 

(0.56)

(1.00)

(0.73)

(0.81)

(0.74)

(1.23)

(0.88)

(0.97)

=1 if governor cannot run again

-1.01

-2.88***

-1.15

-2.59***

-1.24

-4.38***

-2.76***

-0.75

 

(0.63)

(0.90)

(0.73)

(0.85)

(0.92)

(1.01)

(1.05)

(1.02)

Panel B: dependent variable is concurrent (DI + SSI) allowance rate

=1 if multi-term governor

1.61**

1.71**

1.48*

1.80*

2.10**

3.34***

2.32***

0.02

 

(0.65)

(0.85)

(0.78)

(0.92)

(0.93)

(1.08)

(0.85)

(1.20)

=1 if the previous governor is from the same party

0.21

1.38

0.12

0.54

1.03

0.44

0.63

0.57

 

(0.53)

(0.86)

(0.73)

(0.83)

(0.72)

(1.03)

(0.81)

(1.09)

=1 if governor cannot run again

-1.67***

-2.21**

-1.76**

-3.02***

-1.79*

-3.51***

-2.70***

-0.79

 

(0.62)

(0.92)

(0.81)

(0.86)

(0.97)

(0.94)

(0.98)

(1.19)

Observations

745

265

329

371

317

144

368

287

  1. Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (4 lags) robust standard errors at the state level in parentheses. Coefficients that are significant at the.10 [.05] (.01) are marked with *[**](***). Regressions all include additional controls for state marriage rates and age-adjusted state death rates.