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Table 9 Estimates of differences in allowance rates by gubernatorial term length between 2001 and 2013

From: The political economy of the disability insurance: theory and evidence of gubernatorial learning

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

 

Disability Insurance (DI)

Concurrent (DI + SSI)

 

Allowance rates

Log-applications

Allowance rates

Log-applications

=1 if multi-term governor

-1.20

-0.20

1.25

-3.69**

-1.11

-0.16

-0.58

-1.09

 

(0.92)

(1.45)

(1.50)

(1.86)

(0.95)

(1.38)

(1.84)

(2.59)

=1 if governor cannot run again

0.50

-1.49

-0.01

1.55

0.60

-1.83

-0.84

-0.57

 

(1.12)

(1.67)

(1.78)

(2.47)

(1.14)

(1.70)

(2.45)

(3.39)

Constant

45.62***

53.89***

974.42***

909.44***

28.60***

34.67***

966.37***

888.60***

 

(1.16)

(0.84)

(4.77)

(2.42)

(0.88)

(0.72)

(2.94)

(2.52)

Year FE

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

State FE

Y

N

Y

N

Y

N

Y

N

Governor FE

N

Y

N

Y

N

Y

N

Y

Estimation method

OLS

OLS

OLS

OLS

OLS

OLS

OLS

OLS

R-squared

0.720

0.881

0.996

0.998

0.703

0.883

0.992

0.996

Observations

618

618

618

618

618

618

618

618

  1. Based on 2001–2013 data file SSA-SA-MOWL found on www.data.gov. All regressions include year fixed effects, and either state or governor fixed effects. With governor fixed effect the standard errors (in parentheses) are clustered at the governor level, with state fixed effects the standard errors are robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (4 lags). Coefficients that are significant at the.10 [.05] (.01) are marked with *[**](***).