From: Recent extensions of U.S. unemployment benefits: search responses in alternative labor market states
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
2007-2011 | 2000-2004 | |||
Ul eligible (job losers) | UI ineligible (job leavers and LF entrants) | Ul eligible (job losers) | UI ineligible (job Leavers and LF entrants) | |
Sample steps | ||||
Currently unemployed | 173,391 | 123,276 | 107,327 | 102,417 |
Valid matches1 | 115,479 | 82,014 | 70,630 | 67,639 |
Matched two months forward | 73,022 | 51,818 | 43,546 | 42,210 |
Final analysis samples (recoded transitions, dropped missings)2 | 72,347 | 50,141 | 43,167 | 40,129 |
Exit rates from unemployment | ||||
Total exit rate | 0.253 | 0.362 | 0.336 | 0.445 |
Exit to employment | 0166 | 0.143 | 0.235 | 0.216 |
Exit to not in the labor force | 0.087 | 0.219 | 0.101 | 0.229 |
Unemployment duration >= 26 weeks | ||||
Total exit rate | 0.171 | 0.282 | 0.241 | 0.343 |
Exit to employment | 0.078 | 0.086 | 0.125 | 0.119 |
Exit to not in the labor force | 0.093 | 0.196 | 0.116 | 0.223 |
Unemployment duration | ||||
Average | 28.2 | 27.4 | 16.7 | 16.6 |
Share unemployment duration >= 26 weeks | 0.402 | 0.377 | 0.225 | 0.215 |
Share newly unemployed (<5 weeks) | 0.231 | 0.250 | 0.346 | 0.383 |
State variables (means) | ||||
Potential duration of Ul benefits (PBD) | 74.2 | 69.4 | 33.0 | 32.2 |
Unemployment rate (percent) | 8.7 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
Δln (payroll emp.), 3-month annualized | −0.010 | −0.007 | 0.001 | 0.003 |