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Table 5 Multinomial logit regression results, UI ELIGIBLE, separate exit routes: to employment or not in labor force (NILF); marginal effects of 10 additional UI weeks

From: Recent extensions of U.S. unemployment benefits: search responses in alternative labor market states

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

 

Panel A: Single UI weeks variable

 

2007-11

2000-04

 

Exit to employment

Exit to NILF

Exit to employment

Exit to NILF

UI variables

    

Potential benefit duration (PBD)

−0.00150 (0.00288)

−0.00359 (0.00214)

−0.00142 (0.00635)

−0.00916 (0.00637)

 

Panel B: Separate effects for unemployment duration >= or < 26 weeks

 

2007-11

2000-04

 

Exit to employment

Exit to NILF

Exit to employment

Exit to NILF

PBD (dur>=26)

−0.00326 (0.00310)

0.00514* (0.00224)

−0.00097 (−0.00614)

−0.0175** (0.00605)

PBD (dur<26)

−0.00066 (0.00284)

−0.00207 (0.00208)

−0.00068 (0.00674)

−0.00629 (0.00637)

Additional controls

    

State/time

Y

Y

Y

Y

Individual characteristics

Y

Y

Y

Y

Unemployment duration

Y

Y

Y

Y

Stateunemp.& emp.growth (cubics)

Y

Y

Y

Y

Observations

72,347

72,347

43,167

43,167

  1. Standard errors in parentheses (clustered by state). **p<0.01, *p<0.05.
  2. Notes: Numbers are transformed logit coefficients, expressed as marginal effects on the probability of observing an unemployment exit. See text and Appendix Table A2 for the complete list of additional controls.