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Table 2 Mean synthetic control weights per state in same division and other divisions, CPS data at state by quarter level, 1990 – 2011:Q2

From: More on recent evidence on the effects of minimum wages in the United States

 

Mean synthetic control weight per same-division state

Mean synthetic control weight per other-division state

Matched on:

Residual

Residual, 0 MW effect

Teen empl. level

Teen empl., 1-quarter diff.

Teen empl., 4-quarter diff.

Residual

Residual, 0 MW effect

Teen empl. level

Teen empl., 1-quarter diff.

Teen empl., 4-quarter diff.

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

(9)

(10)

New England

0.029

0.025

0.038

0.032

0.016

0.019

0.019

0.018

0.019

0.020

Mid-Atlantic

0.015

0.013

0.026

0.015

0.010

0.020

0.020

0.020

0.020

0.020

East North Central

0.010

0.010

0.008

0.010

0.016

0.021

0.021

0.021

0.021

0.020

West North Central

0.021

0.024

0.098

0.022

0.015

0.020

0.019

0.009

0.020

0.021

South Atlantic

0.027

0.027

0.022

0.020

0.026

0.019

0.019

0.020

0.020

0.019

East South Central

0.039

0.040

0.029

0.041

0.025

0.019

0.019

0.019

0.019

0.020

West South Central

0.011

0.010

0.024

0.015

0.015

0.021

0.021

0.020

0.020

0.020

Mountain

0.017

0.017

0.023

0.027

0.025

0.020

0.021

0.020

0.019

0.019

Pacific

0.024

0.025

0.031

0.020

0.021

0.020

0.020

0.019

0.020

0.020

All

0.022

0.022

0.035

0.023

0.020

0.020

0.020

0.018

0.020

0.020

  1. Notes: Table reports calculations from synthetic control matching on all minimum wage increases in the sample period. The donor pool used consists of all states other than the treatment state. The estimates in columns (1), (2), (6), and (7) are based on residuals from panel data estimates of the log of the teen employment rate on fixed state and period effects and controls for the aggregate unemployment rate and the relative size of the teen population. The log of the minimum wage is included in the regression used in columns (1) and (6). (See NSW, 2014, for more details).