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Table 5 The effects of the minimum wage on log restaurant employment, “falsification tests,” county-level QCEW data

From: More on recent evidence on the effects of minimum wages in the United States

 

Dependent variable: Log (restaurant employment)

 

DLR estimates

False variation in federal minimum wage

Correct Maryland minimum wage error

 

DLR data and estimates: 1990:Q1-2006:Q2 (Table B1, specification 2)

Federal minimum lower by 5 cents (4.20/4.70/5.10 instead of 4.25/4.75/5.15 beginning in 91:Q2/96:Q4/97:Q3)

Federal minimum wage always = $3.35

Same as column (1), but with corrected Maryland minimum wage

Sample restricted to 1998:Q3-2006:Q2 (period with no federal MW changes), with corrected Maryland minimum wage

Sample restricted to 1998:Q3-2006:Q2, county pairs with minimum wage difference for at least one quarter, with corrected Maryland minimum wage

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

Actual MW sample:

Log(MW)

−0.208 (0.150)

−0.114 (0.155)

−0.198** (0.079)

−0.174** (0.085)

Placebo MW sample:

Log(MW)

−0.123 (0.158)

−0.111 (0.157)

−0.099** (0.042)

−0.125 (0.134)

−0.088 (0.062)

0.035 (0.100)

  1. Notes: All specifications include period and county fixed effects, and controls for population and private-sector employment. Standard errors are clustered at the state level. *Statistically significant at the .10 level; ** at the .05 level; *** at the .01 level. (See NSW, 2014, for more details).