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Table 6 Projected relative impacts on NSTW months at 48 months after Ticket mailing

From: Initial impacts of the Ticket to Work program: estimates based on exogenous variation in Ticket mail months

 

Phase 2

Phase 3

Pooled

NSTW months

   

Projected relative impacts at 48 months

4.1%

-8.0%

-3.4%

Standard error of relative impacts

12.5%

9.7%

7.7%

P-value for test of “no impact (or negative impact)” versus “positive impact”

0.371

0.795

0.673

P-value for test of “impact of 5.0% (or more)” versus “impact less than 5.0%”

0.471

0.090

0.136

  1. Notes: The relative projected impacts were calculated by comparing the projected total impacts on NSTW as of 48 months and the estimated means in the absence of TTW ccounterfactual). For each outcome, the counterfactual mean was estimated by subtracting the weighted mean of the Phase 2 and 3 impact estimates at 48 months from the actual mean for the phase. The p-values are for one-tailed tests, reflecting the inequalities in the hypotheses.