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Table 3 Probability of being dropout (All sample)

From: Dropout trends and educational reforms: the role of the LOGSE in Spain

 

Males

Females

 

(1)

(2)

(1)

(2)

Demographics

    

Born Abroad

0.1036***

0.1037***

0.0699**

0.0694**

 

(3.019)

(3.026)

(2.006)

(1.997)

Father present

-0.1899***

-0.1900***

-0.1624***

-0.1623***

 

(-22.795)

(-22.803)

(-19.794)

(-19.740)

Mother present

-0.1420***

-0.1420***

-0.2094***

-0.2095***

 

(-13.457)

(-13.482)

(-16.726)

(-16.731)

Father dropout

0.1918***

0.1919***

0.1165***

0.1165***

 

(21.240)

(21.219)

(14.037)

(14.044)

Mother dropout

0.0976***

0.0976***

0.0801***

0.0800***

 

(16.828)

(16.858)

(14.694)

(14.675)

Cohort effect

0.0925

0.1107

0.1291

0.0923

 

(1.290)

(1.496)

(1.574)

(1.186)

Labour Market and Business Cycle (regional)

Expected real wage

0.0156

0.0207

-0.0499***

-0.0492***

ratio, workers age 30

(0.410)

(0.574)

(-3.237)

(-2.997)

Share of employment

0.1821

0.0527

-0.5081

-0.3097

in construction

(0.478)

(0.134)

(-1.298)

(-0.821)

Unemployment rate

0.3080

0.3397

0.3940***

0.3831***

 

(1.295)

(1.429)

(3.361)

(3.078)

Growth rate

0.3840

0.3451

0.0625

0.1006

 

(1.421)

(1.248)

(0.236)

(0.378)

Educational Model

    

Educational

-0.0300

-0.0282

-0.0103

-0.0151

competences

(-1.345)

(-1.398)

(-0.332)

(-0.509)

Adequacy rate at 15 (%)

-0.0016

-0.0011

0.0008

0.0007

 

(-1.517)

(-1.138)

(0.491)

(0.417)

Incidence of the LOGSE

% studying LOGSE

0.1344

 

-0.1831**

 
 

(1.019)

 

(-3.226)

 

% studying FP-I

-0.0132

-0.0555

-0.2393**

-0.1562*

 

(-0.111)

(-0.494)

(-2.439)

(-1.680)

% studying ESO-I

 

0.1254***

 

-0.0827*

  

(2.745)

 

(-1.827)

R-squared

0.064

0.064

0.078

0.078

Observations

53738

53738

51884

51884

  1. Individuals aged 18-24 interviewed between 1995 and 2010. Marginal effects.
  2. NOTES: The difference between (1) and (2) relies in the set of educational indicators included in the specification. ***significant at 1%; **significant at 5%; *significant at 10%. Omitted variables: regional & cohort dummies. Marginal effects after probit estimation. Reported t-stats constructed from standard errors clustered by region.