Dropout trends and educational reforms: the role of the LOGSE in Spain

Table 3 Probability of being dropout (All sample)

	Males		Females
	(1)	(2)	(1)	(2)
Demographics
Born Abroad	0.1036***	0.1037***	0.0699**	0.0694**
	(3.019)	(3.026)	(2.006)	(1.997)
Father present	-0.1899***	-0.1900***	-0.1624***	-0.1623***
	(-22.795)	(-22.803)	(-19.794)	(-19.740)
Mother present	-0.1420***	-0.1420***	-0.2094***	-0.2095***
	(-13.457)	(-13.482)	(-16.726)	(-16.731)
Father dropout	0.1918***	0.1919***	0.1165***	0.1165***
	(21.240)	(21.219)	(14.037)	(14.044)
Mother dropout	0.0976***	0.0976***	0.0801***	0.0800***
	(16.828)	(16.858)	(14.694)	(14.675)
Cohort effect	0.0925	0.1107	0.1291	0.0923
	(1.290)	(1.496)	(1.574)	(1.186)
Labour Market and Business Cycle (regional)
Expected real wage	0.0156	0.0207	-0.0499***	-0.0492***
ratio, workers age 30	(0.410)	(0.574)	(-3.237)	(-2.997)
Share of employment	0.1821	0.0527	-0.5081	-0.3097
in construction	(0.478)	(0.134)	(-1.298)	(-0.821)
Unemployment rate	0.3080	0.3397	0.3940***	0.3831***
	(1.295)	(1.429)	(3.361)	(3.078)
Growth rate	0.3840	0.3451	0.0625	0.1006
	(1.421)	(1.248)	(0.236)	(0.378)
Educational Model
Educational	-0.0300	-0.0282	-0.0103	-0.0151
competences	(-1.345)	(-1.398)	(-0.332)	(-0.509)
Adequacy rate at 15 (%)	-0.0016	-0.0011	0.0008	0.0007
	(-1.517)	(-1.138)	(0.491)	(0.417)
Incidence of the LOGSE
% studying LOGSE	0.1344		-0.1831**
	(1.019)		(-3.226)
% studying FP-I	-0.0132	-0.0555	-0.2393**	-0.1562*
	(-0.111)	(-0.494)	(-2.439)	(-1.680)
% studying ESO-I		0.1254***		-0.0827*
		(2.745)		(-1.827)
R-squared	0.064	0.064	0.078	0.078
Observations	53738	53738	51884	51884

Individuals aged 18-24 interviewed between 1995 and 2010. Marginal effects.
NOTES: The difference between (1) and (2) relies in the set of educational indicators included in the specification. ***significant at 1%; **significant at 5%; *significant at 10%. Omitted variables: regional & cohort dummies. Marginal effects after probit estimation. Reported t-stats constructed from standard errors clustered by region.