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Table 4 Probability of being dropout

From: Dropout trends and educational reforms: the role of the LOGSE in Spain

 

Males

Females

 

(1)

(2)

(1)

(2)

Demographics

    

Father present

-0.1937***

-0.1938***

-0.1666***

-0.1665***

 

(-22.87)

(-22.88)

(-19.03)

(-18.99)

Mother present

-0.1580***

-0.1579***

-0.2159***

-0.2161***

 

(-16.52)

(-16.58)

(-17.41)

(-17.42)

Father dropout

0.1926***

0.1928***

0.1162***

0.1161***

 

(21.60)

(21.58)

(14.63)

(14.65)

Mother dropout

0.0982***

0.0983***

0.0797***

0.0797***

 

(17.38)

(17.42)

(16.29)

(16.26)

Cohort effect

0.0724

0.0913

0.1296

0.0893

 

(0.98)

(1.22)

(1.47)

(1.04)

Labour Market and Business Cycle (regional)

Expected real wage

0.0064

0.0122

-0.0437**

-0.0422**

ratio, workers age 30

(0.16)

(0.32)

(-2.56)

(-2.34)

Share of employment

0.1884

0.0553

-0.4503

-0.2404

in construction

(0.48)

(0.13)

(-1.12)

(-0.59)

Unemployment rate

0.3074

0.3439

0.3349***

0.3285**

 

(1.24)

(1.39)

(2.87)

(2.40)

Growth rate

0.3868

0.3449

0.0907

0.1278

 

(1.40)

(1.22)

(0.34)

(0.47)

Educational model

    

Competences in

-0.0346

-0.0330

-0.0054

-0.0111

education

(-1.42)

(-1.50)

(-0.17)

(-0.36)

Adequacy rate 15 (%)

-0.0015

-0.0011

0.0005

0.0005

 

(-1.44)

(-1.04)

(0.32)

(0.29)

Incidence of the LOGSE

    

% studying LOGSE

0.1402

 

-0.1911***

 
 

(1.01)

 

(-3.28)

 

% studying FP-I

-0.0164

-0.0600

-0.1756

-0.0823

 

(-0.13)

(-0.53)

(-1.61)

(-0.77)

% studying ESO-I

 

0.1364***

 

-0.0553

  

(2.91)

 

(-1.33)

R-squared

0.07

0.07

0.08

0.08

Observations

52531

52531

50393

50393

  1. Individuals aged 18-24 interviewed between 1995 and 2010. Robustness checks. No immigrants. Marginal effects.
  2. NOTES: The difference between (1) and (2) relies in the set of educational indicators included in the specification. ***significant at 1%; **significant at 5%; *significant at 10%. Omitted variables: regional & cohort dummies. Marginal effects after probit estimation. Reported t-stats constructed from standard errors clustered by region.