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Table 5 Track choice: the probability of taking vocational studies vs. the academic track after compulsory education (marginal effects)

From: Dropout trends and educational reforms: the role of the LOGSE in Spain

 

Males

Females

 

(1)

(2)

(1)

(2)

Demographics

    

Born Abroad

-0.0464*

-0.0464*

-0.0793***

-0.0793***

 

(-1.81)

(-1.81)

(-5.54)

(-5.53)

Father present

-0.0633***

-0.0632***

-0.0555***

-0.0555***

 

(-7.25)

(-7.24)

(-7.87)

(-7.84)

Mother present

-0.0425***

-0.0426***

-0.1035***

-0.1036***

 

(-3.64)

(-3.67)

(-12.47)

(-12.45)

Father dropout

0.0632***

0.0633***

0.0503***

0.0503***

 

(7.03)

(7.07)

(5.75)

(5.73)

Mother dropout

0.0140

0.0140

0.0079

0.0080

 

(1.57)

(1.57)

(1.06)

(1.06)

Cohort effect

0.1600**

0.1740**

0.1644***

0.1691***

 

(2.10)

(2.15)

(4.34)

(3.82)

Labour Market and Business Cycle (regional)

Expected real wage ratio,

-0.0218

-0.0223

-0.0446***

-0.0432***

workers age 30

(-0.77)

(-0.85)

(-2.85)

(-2.74)

Share of employment

-0.3834

-0.5175

-0.4537

-0.4826

in construction

(-0.99)

(-1.36)

(-1.29)

(-1.35)

Unemployment rate

0.0805

0.0570

0.5190**

0.5319***

 

(0.35)

(0.23)

(2.55)

(2.64)

Growth rate

-0.0979

-0.1086

0.3611*

0.3422

 

(-0.30)

(-0.33)

(1.65)

(1.57)

Educational model

    

Competences in

0.0239

0.0296

0.0296

0.0298

Education

(0.62)

(0.84)

(0.88)

(0.99)

Adequacy rate 15 (%)

-0.0002

-0.0002

-0.0005

-0.0003

 

(-0.18)

(-0.16)

(-0.40)

(-0.26)

Incidence of the LOGSE

    

% studying LOGSE

0.1193

 

0.0333

 
 

(1.19)

 

(0.28)

 

% studying FP-I

0.2817*

0.2392

0.4093***

0.4059***

 

(1.81)

(1.56)

(3.38)

(2.88)

% studying ESO-I

 

0.0277

 

0.0511

  

(0.78)

 

(1.22)

R-squared

0.02

0.02

0.02

0.02

Observations

33988

33988

39941

39941

  1. Full sample (18-24) that has completed compulsory education.
  2. NOTES: The difference between (1) and (2) relies in the set of educational indicators included in the specification. ***significant at 1%; **significant at 5%; *significant at 10%. Omitted variables: regional & cohort dummies. Marginal effects after probit estimation. Reported t-stats constructed from standard errors clustered by region.