Table 4 Perceived probability of being unemployed within the next 12 months, probit model

Coef.

Marg. impact

Coef.

Marg. impact

Misperception unemployment (abs value)

.007***

.002***

.011***

.003***

(.002)

(.000)

(.004)

(.001)

Misperc. unempl. if neg. (abs value)

−.040**

−.011**

−.024

−.005

(.020)

(.006)

(.048)

(.012)

Female

−.003

−.001

−.089

−.022

(.042)

(.012)

(.110)

(.026)

Age

.015

.004

.032

.008

(.012)

(.003)

(.034)

(.008)

Age sq.

−.0003*

−.00007*

−.0004

−.0001

(.0001)

(.00004)

(.0004)

(.0001)

Educ. upper second.

−.140**

−.039**

.111

.0274

(.061)

(.0171)

(.153)

(.038)

Educ. tertiary

−.385***

−.104***

−.260*

−.062*

(.062)

(.016)

(.157)

(.037)

Ability1

−.010

−.003

−.064

−.016

(.089)

(.026)

(.229)

(.059)

Ability2

−.198***

−.058***

−.071

−.018

(.049)

(.015)

(.126)

(.032)

Unemployed

1.646***

.586***

(.084)

(.026)

Open end contract

−.394***

−.119***

−.756***

−.227***

(.044)

(.014)

(.121)

(.041)

Const.

−.607**

−.649

(.255)

(.702)

Controls for country fixed effects

Yes

Yes

Obs.

13573

2262

Log L

−5415.8

−753.8