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Table 6 Equation for the difference in unemployment at different points of the business cycle

From: Drivers and effects of labour market reforms: Evidence from a novel policy compendium

 

All

Developed

Developing

Panel A. Estimation results

   

 Reforms decreasing (lag)

0.0002

0.028

−0.038

(0.028)

(0.036)

(0.051)

 Gap growth

−0.178**

−0.326***

−0.098***

(0.008)

(0.037)

(0.008)

 EPL indicator

0.008***

0.005

0.04

(0.002)

(0.007)

(0.005)

 Tax rate

0.001

0.023**

−0.006**

(0.003)

(0.011)

(0.003)

 Reforms decreasing (lag)*Gap growth

−0.023**

−0.019

0.030

(0.009)

(0.013)

(0.023)

Panel B: Marginal effects of the impact of reforms decreasing labour legislation at different percentiles of the gap growth variable

 Min

0.0394**

0.342*

−0.547

(0.016)

(0,204)

(0.377)

 p10

0.118**

0.144*

−0.181*

(0.050)

(0.078)

(0.106)

 p20

0.062*

0.092*

−0.106*

(0.033)

(0.049)

(0.061)

 p30

0.031

0.063*

−0.073

(0.027)

(0.038)

(0.049)

 p40

0.014

0.043

−0.052

(0.027)

(0.035)

(0.048)

 p50

−0.001

0.030

−0.035

(0.028)

(0.035)

(0.051)

 p60

−0.013

0.011

−0.023

(0.03)

(0.039)

(0.055)

 p70

−0.027

−0.004

−0.010

(0.033)

(0.044)

(0.059)

 p80

−0.049

−0.012

0.027

(0.039)

(0.049)

(0.080)

 p90

−0.071

−0.024

0.056

(0.046)

(0.054)

(0.099)

 Max

−0.211**

−0.122

0.236

(0.099)

(0.112)

(0.228)

Year dummies

Yes

Yes

Yes

Country dummies

Yes

Yes

Yes

Regional dummies

No

No

No

N

372

144

228

  1. Note: Dependent variable is the annual change in unemployment (in percentage points). GLS model correcting for panel heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation (AR1)
  2. */**/*** significant at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent